Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Antes del descubrimiento de Australia, en el Viejo Mundo se creía que todos los cisnes eran blancos. Parecía una creencia irrefutable. Pero, entonces, se vio que en Australia los cisnes también podían ser negros. Este hecho ilustra una grave limitación del aprendizaje que se hace desde la observación o la experiencia, así como la fragilidad de nuestro conocimiento. Una sola observación es capaz de invalidar una afirmación generalizada. Todo...

The most influential book of the past seventy-five years: a groundbreaking exploration of everything we know about what we don’t know, now with a new section called “On Robustness and Fragility.”
A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable,...

"The acclaimed author of the influential bestseller The Black Swan, Nicholas Nassim Taleb takes a next big step with a deceptively simple concept: the "antifragile." Like the Greek hydra that grows two heads for each one it loses, people, systems, and institutions that are antifragile not only withstand shocks, they benefit from them. In a modern world dominated by chaos and uncertainty, Antifragile is a revolutionary vision from one of the most subversive...

This audiobook is about luck, or more precisely, how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. It is already a landmark work and its title has entered our vocabulary. In its second edition, Fooled by Randomness is now a cornerstone for anyone interested in random outcomes. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill, the world of trading, this audiobook is a captivating insight into one of...

"Safe Haven Investing seeks to answer the question: what is the safest thing to invest your money in? Which investments can withstand a crash? Mark ultimately argues that an equity tail hedge is the one safe haven that is as good as--and even better than--gold. Mark will work through other areas that are typically considered safe, like farmland and real estate, before showing the reader how to align his/her portfolio to withstand a potential crash....